Claude Code
Codex
Cursor
GitHub Copilot
Gemini CLIAbout this skill
Use when starting a forecast to establish a statistical baseline (base rate) before analyzing specifics. Invoke when need to anchor predictions in historical reality, avoid "this time is different" bias, or establish outside view before inside view analysis. Use when user mentions base rates, reference classes, outside view, or starting a new prediction.
Quick start
- Copy the install prompt. Use the green button above this README.
- Send it to your agent. Paste it into your coding agent’s chat and send.
- Review the setup. Your agent checks the skill’s instructions, requirements, and installation scope.
Review, license & listing details
Review the source before using this skill
This is an imported listing. We haven’t certified its safety, license, or compatibility. Skills may include executable scripts.
Automated security scan: Partial
Only SKILL.md was scanned. Supporting files and scripts were not checked. No safety grade has been assigned.
0 potential findings · Scanned 11/4/2026 · Scanner 0.2.1
Content SHA-256: 1400835edd5a8f2acdc27778fce1092e064764994c1796404928cef583e1830f
About this listing
- Category
- Science & research
- Reported license
- MIT
- Listing language (estimated)
- English
- Review status
- Not individually reviewed
- Agent compatibility
- Atlas installation supports Claude Code, Codex, and Cursor. Skill-specific dependencies and features are checked during setup.