Claude Code
Codex
Cursor
GitHub Copilot
Gemini CLIAbout this skill
Produces a reference-class estimate by defining a class of similar past cases, taking their base-rate distribution of outcomes, and anchoring the forecast on that outside view rather than the optimistic inside view, with a conservative adjustment for specifics. Use when forecasting cost, time, or odds of success for a project prone to optimism or the planning fallacy.
Quick start
- Copy the install prompt. Use the green button above this README.
- Send it to your agent. Paste it into your coding agent’s chat and send.
- Review the setup. Your agent checks the skill’s instructions, requirements, and installation scope.
Review, license & listing details
Review the source before using this skill
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Automated security scan: Partial
Only SKILL.md was scanned. Supporting files and scripts were not checked. No safety grade has been assigned.
0 potential findings · Scanned 11/4/2026 · Scanner 0.2.1
Content SHA-256: ab26b52122422e0b47813cbf391f19d7e3dfb5137b9b2b5f4c75ac0249a0632c
About this listing
- Category
- General
- Reported license
- Apache-2.0
- Listing language (estimated)
- English
- Review status
- Not individually reviewed
- Agent compatibility
- Atlas installation supports Claude Code, Codex, and Cursor. Skill-specific dependencies and features are checked during setup.