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Forecast Premortem

Agent skill
1 skill

Stress-tests predictions by assuming failure and working backward to identify blind spots, tail risks, and overconfidence. Applies Gary Klein's premortem technique to probabilistic forecasting. Use when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, want to widen overconfident intervals, or when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.

Install with
Claude CodeCodexCursorGitHub CopilotGemini CLI

Supported by the Atlas install prompt. Skill-specific requirements vary.

Skill stats

Skills1CategoryGeneralStars0

About this skill

Stress-tests predictions by assuming failure and working backward to identify blind spots, tail risks, and overconfidence. Applies Gary Klein's premortem technique to probabilistic forecasting. Use when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, want to widen overconfident intervals, or when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.

Quick start

  1. Copy the install prompt. Use the green button above this README.
  2. Send it to your agent. Paste it into your coding agent’s chat and send.
  3. Review the setup. Your agent checks the skill’s instructions, requirements, and installation scope.
Review, license & listing details
Review the source before using this skill

This is an imported listing. We haven’t certified its safety, license, or compatibility. Skills may include executable scripts.

Automated security scan: Partial

Only SKILL.md was scanned. Supporting files and scripts were not checked. No safety grade has been assigned.

0 potential findings · Scanned 11/4/2026 · Scanner 0.2.1

Content SHA-256: de2b86cdcc159e474df95386b631c466f9a567efadf2284332a2fa7354681ed6

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About this listing

Category
General
Reported license
Not specified
Listing language (estimated)
English
Review status
Not individually reviewed
Agent compatibility
Atlas installation supports Claude Code, Codex, and Cursor. Skill-specific dependencies and features are checked during setup.