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Bayesian Reasoner

Agent skill
1 skill

Update credences given new evidence, calibrate confidence levels, and identify base-rate neglect. Use when the user needs to reason about how new evidence should change their beliefs, check whether their confidence is proportional to the evidence, understand conditional probabilities, or practice calibrated reasoning.

Install with
Claude CodeCodexCursorGitHub CopilotGemini CLI

Supported by the Atlas install prompt. Skill-specific requirements vary.

Skill stats

Skills1CategoryGeneralStars0

About this skill

Update credences given new evidence, calibrate confidence levels, and identify base-rate neglect. Use when the user needs to reason about how new evidence should change their beliefs, check whether their confidence is proportional to the evidence, understand conditional probabilities, or practice calibrated reasoning.

Quick start

  1. Copy the install prompt. Use the green button above this README.
  2. Send it to your agent. Paste it into your coding agent’s chat and send.
  3. Review the setup. Your agent checks the skill’s instructions, requirements, and installation scope.
Review, license & listing details
Review the source before using this skill

This is an imported listing. We haven’t certified its safety, license, or compatibility. Skills may include executable scripts.

Automated security scan: Partial

Only SKILL.md was scanned. Supporting files and scripts were not checked. No safety grade has been assigned.

0 potential findings · Scanned 11/4/2026 · Scanner 0.2.1

Content SHA-256: 64493e4d3f3d0aae702551b4f058ed241da33f352d6913b3dc89cdc88ef7e281

About scan coverage and limitations

About this listing

Category
General
Reported license
MIT
Listing language (estimated)
English
Review status
Not individually reviewed
Agent compatibility
Atlas installation supports Claude Code, Codex, and Cursor. Skill-specific dependencies and features are checked during setup.
Bayesian Reasoner | Agent Skills Atlas